Complexity Rising: Are We Living Through the Collapse of Hierarchy?

In our previous post Are We Living Through Collapse? Complexity, Digital Technology, and the Future Beyond Capitalism we proposed complexity as the main cause of the socioeconomic turbulence that we experience today. Here we double down on this proposition by addressing Yaneer Bar-Yam’s paper Complexity Rising.

Collapse rarely looks like fire and ruins. Most often, it feels like drift, a slow unraveling of institutions, the loss of confidence in systems that once seemed unshakable, a spreading sense that no one is in control anymore. The question that haunts our time is not whether society will collapse, but whether it already is.

Over the last few decades, researchers across economics, ecology, and complexity science have been circling around the same idea: our world is entering a transition phase. The mechanisms that once allowed civilization to grow and adapt are breaking down. And yet, from the midst of that breakdown, a new kind of order is trying to emerge.

Epistemology of Organizations in an Age of Complexity: Firms, Open Networks, and AI

As the global economy grows more complex, dynamic, and uncertain, the epistemic fitness of organizational forms—how they sense, validate, decide, and learn—becomes central to innovation capacity and long-term performance. This essay outlines a research program to develop a comparative framework for the epistemology of organizations. It contrasts centralized firms (pre- and post-digital) with open networks (peer-to-peer) and explores the transformative potential of hybrid AI–P2P epistemic models. Grounded in established literature from Coase and Williamson to Benkler and modern complexity theorists, this work situates its urgency in the context of rising systemic turbulence. The central argument is that in an era defined by uncertainty and complexity, the competitive advantage shifts from efficiencies of scale to efficiencies of learning, anticipation and coherent joint action, making organizational epistemology the critical determinant of future economic dominance.